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NASCAR at Richmond odds, picks 2019: Model says Kyle Larson surprises at Toyota Owners 400

For first time this year, NASCAR will be under the lights when the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday in Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR at Richmond as the leader in the NASCAR Dragon Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He’s looking for his fourth win of the year and also the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances provide him a 9-4 chance to get it starts in fifth position after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the fastest pace in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, giving him the pole position. His NASCAR in Richmond chances have moved out of 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are one of the other leading contenders at this .75-mile brief course. Before locking in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 picks of your own, first be sure to check out the NASCAR predictions in the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and recent results into consideration.

The version is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top . It also nailed Busch’s huge win at Bristol a week. Anybody who has followed its selections is far up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic places like Richmond Raceway have been in his blood. Now, his version simulated the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For NASCAR in Richmond 2019, we could inform you the version is top on Kyle Larson, who makes a solid run at taking the checkered flag despite heading off at 25-1 NASCAR at Richmond odds.

Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, that’s that the third-best among active drivers. He’s finished seventh or better in four of the last five events in Richmond and won the Richmond fall race in 2017. He’ll begin in 14th place after a marginally slower than anticipated qualifying period of 123.54 MPH. However he posted the fastest lap (121.70 MPH) in the first practice session on Friday, so he’s shown the rate needed to climb the NASCAR in Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.

And a huge shocker: Truex Jr., among the top Vegas favorites at 6-1, does not crack the top five. There are far better values in a loaded 2019 NASCAR at Richmond lineup.

The 39-year-old veteran is sitting in the standings, but he is tapered off recently. Truex finished 12th at Texas Motor Speedway and then struggled last week in Bristol, finishing 17th. In his profession, Truex hasn’t fared very well at Richmond Raceway either. In reality, he has finished in the top five just 3 times in 26 career starts at the track.

The version can also be targeting two other motorists with 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds of 20-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning everything. Anyone who backs these lengthy shots can hit it big.

Read more: sportxmagazine.com

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