Basketball and betting have more in common than you might think. In order to succeed at pursuit, it is helpful to have an established system. In the case of basketball, having a reliable offensive scheme which you’re able to roll out each game regardless of the matchup gives you a leg-up. Think Mike D’Antoni’s free-flowing space-and-pace assault or Jerry Sloan’s nearly unbeatable pick-and-roll crime from the 1980s and 90s.
When it comes to gambling, you can gain the same sort of benefit by having a tightly defined set of principles which it is possible to use to each and every match regardless of who’s on the court.
Fortunately, you do not need to create your own betting strategy from scratch. There are already a few recognized strategies that you can try on for size once you put down wagers on your favourite teams, and there is no rule against pilfering from the playbooks of individuals who came before you. We have included a number of the most dependable systems and money-management approaches below, along with insights on the best way best to use them. When coupled with an comprehension of the game, these systems might help turn even rookie betters to all-stars.
The High Totals System
Few approaches are easier to learn and use in relation to the High Totals System created by Allen Moody, a sports-betting professional and the author of Getting a Winning Gambler and Sports Betting Basics. Moody discovered that sportsbooks often underestimate game totals for NBA non-conference games, and began taking the over on all matches with an over/under of 220 total points. It’s a simple strategy, but it paid off handsomely as he was right 63.5percent of time for all games meeting that standards from 2004-05 to 2008-09.
Those sorts of games were rarities a decade before, but they’re becoming more common now as teams push the pace and drain more three-pointers. Back in 2004-05, NBA teams scored a mean of 97.2 points each game. That number jumped to 100.0 in 2008-09 and climbed all the way to 105.6 in 2016-17. Sportsbooks have become savvy to this trend, but there is still value to be found by taking the above in games with especially high total-point projections.
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